GAMBLOR – ROUND 5

Posted on Posted in Gamblor

Round 4 was a bit of a write off for GAMBLOR as again he placed his trust in the fickle, weak minded Melbourne Football Club. Not sure a team has cost me more in the last 18 months that those pretenders. That 2nd half was arguably worse than Carlton….but it was touch and go.

 

One thing we did get right early in the week was that the weather would play a role in the footy in R4 and it is fair to say we can tick that box. The Total Score UNDER bets all saluted which was some light at the end of the tunnel. Although we did also successfully go Total Score OVER in Perth which got up easily too. Also we were very keen on Essendon but we are starting to look at this with very rose coloured glasses.

 

Time to bounce back….

 

 

 

Sydney vs Adelaide

SCG

Friday 7.50pm EST

 

Sydney by 19 points (97-78)

 

Bets

Sydney 1-39 @ $2.05 is no value but looks the obvious play.

The total score OVER 173.5 should tempt you if you think the Crows are a real show.

 

Player Bet

Josh Kennedy to get 30+ possessions @ $2.50 is #value. Will bounce back from a quiet one last week and with the Crows mid stocks diminished, he will get ample opportunity to get first hands on the pill at stoppages.

 

 

 

St Kilda vs GWS

Docklands

Saturday 1.45pm EST

 

GWS by 21 (99-78)

 

Bets

Again, not a game that screams #value

GWS 1-24 @ $3.30 seems a good price

GWS 1-39 @ $2.10

 

Player Watch

Jacob Hopper has fitted back into that GWS midfield very nicely and $2.15 for him to get 25_+ touches without Kelly in there seems a play to me.

 

 

 

Carlton vs West Coast

MCG

Saturday 4.35pm EST

 

West Coast by 46 points (119-73)

 

Bets

Total Score OVER 176.5 @ $1.92

 

Player Watch

Josh Kennedy to kick 8+

 

 

 

Port Adelaide vs Geelong

Adelaide Oval

Saturday 7.40pm EST

 

Port by 7 points (89-82)

 

Bets

Total Score UNDER 179.5 @ $1.92 (night games in Adelaide tend to be lower scoring than during the day)

Either side < 15.5 points

 

Player Watch

 

Literally no one at the price appeals at all #HarveyNorman

 

 

 

Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs

Perth Stadium

Saturday 8.10pm EST

 

Fremantle by 21 points (92-71)

 

Bets

 

Fremantle 1-39 @ $2.15 (Keen)

Fremantle by 16+ @ $2.20

 

 

Player Watch

 

 

 

North Melbourne vs Hawthorn

Docklands

Sunday 3.20pm EST

 

Hawthorn by 34 points (110-76)

 

Bets

Pretty confident Hawthorn can covered the line (-14.5) with ease @ $1.92

 

 

 

 

Brisbane vs Gold Coast

GABBA

Sunday 4.40pm EST

 

Brisbane by 2 points (98-96)

 

Bets

Brisbane H2H @ $1.80

 

 

 

 

Melbourne vs Richmond

MCG

Tuesday 7.25pm EST

 

Richmond by 4 points (91-87)

 

Melbourne at the line (+13.5) @ $1.92

Either side < 15.5 points @ $2.75

 

 

 

 

Collingwood vs Essendon

MCG
Wednesday 3.20pm EST

 

Essendon by 13 points (100-87)

 

Bets

Ess H2H @ $2

Ess 1-39 @ $2.50

Ess by 16+ @ $3

 

 

 

Best Bets

Ess H2H @ $2

Haw (-14.5) vs Nth Melb @ $1.92

 

Multi

 

Syd / Port/ WCE / Freo / Haw/ Ess @ $ 12.50

 

 

Yours In Punting

 

GAMBLOR!!!

 

 

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