Posted on Posted in Gamblor

Round 4 was a bit of a write off for GAMBLOR as again he placed his trust in the fickle, weak minded Melbourne Football Club. Not sure a team has cost me more in the last 18 months that those pretenders. That 2nd half was arguably worse than Carlton….but it was touch and go.


One thing we did get right early in the week was that the weather would play a role in the footy in R4 and it is fair to say we can tick that box. The Total Score UNDER bets all saluted which was some light at the end of the tunnel. Although we did also successfully go Total Score OVER in Perth which got up easily too. Also we were very keen on Essendon but we are starting to look at this with very rose coloured glasses.


Time to bounce back….




Sydney vs Adelaide


Friday 7.50pm EST


Sydney by 19 points (97-78)



Sydney 1-39 @ $2.05 is no value but looks the obvious play.

The total score OVER 173.5 should tempt you if you think the Crows are a real show.


Player Bet

Josh Kennedy to get 30+ possessions @ $2.50 is #value. Will bounce back from a quiet one last week and with the Crows mid stocks diminished, he will get ample opportunity to get first hands on the pill at stoppages.




St Kilda vs GWS


Saturday 1.45pm EST


GWS by 21 (99-78)



Again, not a game that screams #value

GWS 1-24 @ $3.30 seems a good price

GWS 1-39 @ $2.10


Player Watch

Jacob Hopper has fitted back into that GWS midfield very nicely and $2.15 for him to get 25_+ touches without Kelly in there seems a play to me.




Carlton vs West Coast


Saturday 4.35pm EST


West Coast by 46 points (119-73)



Total Score OVER 176.5 @ $1.92


Player Watch

Josh Kennedy to kick 8+




Port Adelaide vs Geelong

Adelaide Oval

Saturday 7.40pm EST


Port by 7 points (89-82)



Total Score UNDER 179.5 @ $1.92 (night games in Adelaide tend to be lower scoring than during the day)

Either side < 15.5 points


Player Watch


Literally no one at the price appeals at all #HarveyNorman




Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs

Perth Stadium

Saturday 8.10pm EST


Fremantle by 21 points (92-71)




Fremantle 1-39 @ $2.15 (Keen)

Fremantle by 16+ @ $2.20



Player Watch




North Melbourne vs Hawthorn


Sunday 3.20pm EST


Hawthorn by 34 points (110-76)



Pretty confident Hawthorn can covered the line (-14.5) with ease @ $1.92





Brisbane vs Gold Coast


Sunday 4.40pm EST


Brisbane by 2 points (98-96)



Brisbane H2H @ $1.80





Melbourne vs Richmond


Tuesday 7.25pm EST


Richmond by 4 points (91-87)


Melbourne at the line (+13.5) @ $1.92

Either side < 15.5 points @ $2.75





Collingwood vs Essendon

Wednesday 3.20pm EST


Essendon by 13 points (100-87)



Ess H2H @ $2

Ess 1-39 @ $2.50

Ess by 16+ @ $3




Best Bets

Ess H2H @ $2

Haw (-14.5) vs Nth Melb @ $1.92




Syd / Port/ WCE / Freo / Haw/ Ess @ $ 12.50



Yours In Punting





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