Adelaide vs Geelong
The Crows will rightfully go into this as favourites but after the Cats destroying the seemingly unbeatable Swans how can anyone be sure of anything? The Crows have been the best side all year and at home, you can’t look past them here. The return of Rory Sloane only adds to a mid-field that bullied the Giants a fortnight ago. Will the week off hurt? Wouldn’t have thought so. Loathe to ever write off a team with P Dangerfield in it (what a gun he is!) but pretty confident the Crows will earn a GF spot and do it relatively easily.
Adelaide by 25 points (98-73)
Adel 1-39 @ $2.15
Adel > 15.5 @ $1.75
Adel at the line (-13.5) @ $1.93
Stephen Motlop to get < 15.5 possessions & 0-1 goals
James Parsons to get < 10 possessions & no goals
Richie Douglas to kick at least 1 goal
Crouch Bros to get between 55-60 possessions
Daniel Menzel to have < 12.5 possesions, < 4 tackles & 0-1 goal
Richmond vs GWS
Gee whiz it is so easy to get sucked in by GWS isn’t it? . More than any team in recent memory I’d suggest. We all know the talent and ability they have at their disposal and watching them pull apart the Eagles last week reminded us how just how good they can be when they are on song. But there seems to be a correlation between the Giants being on song, and them seemingly having an opposition well and truly covered. By that I mean, when the going gets tough, GWS don’t seem to be able to produce. The Crows showed us that a fortnight ago and I see no reason why the Tigers will be any easier from that perspective. Pressure is what Richmond 2017 are all about and in from of 100k screaming fans (and 812 polite GWS fans) the pressure will be manic.
However, if for whatever reason they are unable to bring that on Saturday, GWS have the skills to cut them up.
We have made good money from Richmond over the last month or so and while there is no #value here, they are the way to go.
Richmond by 9 points (81-72)
Richmond H2H @ $1.60
Richmond 1-39 @ $2.15
Richmond 1-24 @ $3.20
Stevie J to not kick a goal
Jacob Townsend 1st Richmond goalkicker
Stephen Coniglio to have > 25 possessions & > 6 tackles
Adel (H2H) / Menari (Syd R7 No2) / Brave Smash (Melb R6 No3) @ $4.75